Thursday, April 28, 2016

It's hard to claim you have a mandate when your voters think elections are rigged

As the election wears on, we're going to be hearing stronger and stronger calls for Bernie Sanders to stand down. Bernie offers no signs of stopping, of standing down. Bernie is in it to win it and he is committed to showing up at the convention. He has legions of supporters who believe in him and that will continue to support him even if he does eventually lose.

There is a credible threat from the Bernie or Bust crowd that they will walk away and the Clinton team is truly frightened of the prospect that they will. I can see it in the way they debate in social media: "Oh, you're going to write him in? Then you're voting for Trump, you big dummy." Their condescension is beyond the pale. But their fear is palpable. The number of Bernie or Bust voters is about 33% of Sanders supporters, or, roughly 41% of Democrat voters as of last November, and that number is likely to be bigger now. That's not even talking about the huge contingent of independent voters who will not vote for her, either.

There is still hope for Bernie supporters and a lot can happen between now and June.

Now there is a new poll out that says that half of Americans think that the election is rigged. Think about that. Half of Americans believe that their votes are not being counted fairly. That's about the same number of voters who believe that neither major political party truly represents them. Who needs to listen to them when you can spend a third of your time dialing for dollars with the who's who of American wealth?

There is at least one mathematician, Richard Charmin, who has presented very strong evidence of election rigging. He points to the exit polls in Massachusetts where the raw data show that the results of the exit polls are being adjusted to match the election results. Here is some of the logic behind that assertion:
Clinton led the adjusted exit poll (1406 respondents) by 50.3-48.7%,  a near-exact match to the 1.4% RECORDED vote margin.  But her 50.3% share was IMPOSSIBLE.  The proof is self-explanatory: How could Clinton gain 114 respondents and Sanders just 7 among the final 109 exit poll respondents?
Clinton won  by 51-49% on electronic voting machines from ES&S, Diebold and Dominion.  Sanders won 68  hand-counted precincts by 58-41%.   He won 250 of 351 jurisdictions and had at least 58% in 110.  
The odds against that kind of result are remote at best. Yet, we are relying upon exit polling to show if the official tally is right. What they are doing is adjusting the exit polling data to make it conform to the election results. That's not exactly scientific, but that's what they're doing as standard operating procedure.

We have also seen live election reporting that actually shows Sanders numbers going down as the night wore on:

Isn't that statistically impossible? I think so. Notice that this is not an error. In the first image, we see Sanders winning handily with 16% reporting. Later, with 39% reporting, he's lost a third of his votes.

These aren't the only examples. There are numerous studies of election fraud throughout modern American history. But this is the first election I've seen where it's really starting to get notice in social media. Blockchain voting, your time has come.

We know that we can solve the problem of election fraud with available, off the shelf technology, but the political will must be there, and it has to start with small jurisdictions and work its way up. Small jurisdictions are the low hanging fruit of change.

If Hilary wins, and based on current trends she's on track to win, she's going to have a really hard time claiming a mandate of any kind. 45% of the voters in this country now identify themselves as independent. That's more voters than all the voters who are registered with both major parties. Neither party truly represents America anymore.

If the story of election fraud takes hold in the national discourse on the election, convincing Americans that Clinton truly represent their interests becomes orders of magnitude harder for her.

If your party doesn't really represent America anymore, rigging elections is probably the only thing left to do to stay relevant. Sure, the elite figure that Americans will forget what happened. They will if they have to work 2-3 jobs just to make a living. They can't even participate in the rule making process that allows for close primaries, electronic voting that has little to zero oversight and rampant disenfranchisement campaigns whenever it suits the elite to purge the voter rolls.

Staying relevant with rigged elections doesn't give you a mandate. It gives you an oligarchy.
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